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2024-12-14 11:03:06

European Central Bank President Lagarde: Economic growth in the euro zone is facing downside risks. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the latest information shows that the euro zone economy is losing momentum and the risk of economic growth is on the downside. Lagarde said at a news conference in Frankfurt on Thursday that in the face of weak demand and highly uncertain prospects, enterprises are curbing investment spending-labor demand continues to weaken, exports are also weak, and the labor market remains flexible. "Over time, the economy should strengthen, though at a slower pace than previously expected," she said.Eurozone government bond yields barely changed, and eurozone government bond yields barely changed, after the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points, as widely expected. Michael Brown of Pepperstone said in a report: "The interest rate cut was accompanied by a policy statement, which' copied and pasted' the policy guidance issued after the October meeting." The ECB reiterated that it would "follow the method of data dependence and successive meetings to determine the appropriate monetary policy stance." According to Tradeweb's data, after the interest rate was determined, the yield of two-year German government bonds was 1.941%, slightly lower than the previous 1.951%, while the yield of 10-year German government bonds was 2.130%, which was almost unchanged that day.Spot gold fell by $5 in the short term and is now reported at $2,704 per ounce.


European Central Bank President Lagarde: Increased global trade friction may weaken economic growth. European Central Bank President Lagarde: Increased global trade friction may weaken economic growth, and the growth prospects are facing downside risks. The downside risks of inflation include low market confidence, geopolitical pressure and low investment. The intensification of trade friction will make the inflation prospect more uncertain.Analysis: Lagarde's speech increased the market's bet to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. In December, the European Central Bank lowered its economic forecast and inflation forecast. At the press conference, European Central Bank President Lagarde paid attention to the downside risks of economic growth, especially mentioning that trade friction may put pressure on economic growth, and also mentioned that they discussed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points. Therefore, the atmosphere of the whole meeting is biased towards doves. The market then increased its bet on a 50 basis point rate cut after January. Although the possibility of a sharp interest rate cut in January is stable at 30%, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in March has increased from 30% before the meeting to 40%, and the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate cut in April has increased from 0% to 5%.Trump: If Kennedy Jr. takes action, he will have a "big discussion" on ending the children's vaccination program.


European Central Bank President Lagarde: Reiterating the European Central Bank policy statement.Germany's current account surplus in October was 12.497 billion euros.Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank: The Transmission Protection Tool (TPI) was not discussed.

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